Here are the results of InsiderAdvantage surveys conducted July15-16 in Pennsylvania, Nevada, and Arizona:
Pennsylvania: Trump 49%; Biden 45%, Other 4%, Undecided 2% 800 Sample/LV/ Weighted/MOE 3.46%
Nevada: Trump 49%, Biden 42%, Other 5%, Undecided 4% 800 Sample /LV/ Weighted/ MOE 3.52%
Arizona: Trump 49%, Biden 44%, Other 4%, Undecided 3% 800 Sample/ LV/Weighted/ MOE 3.52%
In addition, InsiderAdvantage conducted surveys for Fox5 Atlanta (Georgia Presidential) and Fox13 Tampa (Florida Presidential)
InsiderAdvantage’s Matt Towery: “Each of these battleground states followed a similar pattern. Trump had solid leads but based on recent polling by other firms, there appeared to be no significant bump past Saturday’s attempted assassination of former President Trump. However, there existed in each state a substantial ‘enthusiasm gap.’ The gap in each state was: PA, Republicans 75%-Democrats 58%; NV, Republicans 83%-Democrats 63%; AZ, 83%-61%. This may be the better measure of the reaction to the attempt on Trump’s life, given that for months the number of undecided voters in most polls has been relatively low.”
Ballot test of Trump versus Harris (same sample:
Pennsylvania: Trump 47%, Harris 40%, Other 8%, Undecided 5%
Nevada: Trump 50%, Harris 40%, Other 7%, Undecided, 3%
Arizona: Trump 48%, Harris 42%, Other 7%, Undecided 3%
InsiderAdvantage’s Matt Towery: “In these ballot tests Harris performs below Biden. However, it is important to note that a vice president who is not the party nominee (or presumptive), tested against the other party’s actual nominee, may yield weaker numbers than a ballot test should both be their respective party’s candidate. That said within the smaller demographic subsets, the declines for Harris versus that of Biden, for the most part, were generally small. That suggests that with the mantel of nominee, her numbers could potentially improve.”
Top Line Cross Tabs Coming Later Today….
Listen to Matt Towery and Robert Cahaly’s Latest Episode of Their Podcast “Polling Plus” CLICK HERE: https://www.iheart.com/podcast/269-polling-plus-with-matt-tow-120275652/
