An InsiderAdvantage survey of 850 likely voters in the Iowa Republican Caucus contest conducted January 11 shows Donald Trump holding a substantial lead over his opponents, with Ron DeSantis and Nikki Haley tied for second place. The poll has a margin of error of plus or minus 4.32% and has a 95% confidence level. This survey excluded Chris Christie as a result of his decision to suspend his campaign.The results:
Donald Trump: 51%
Ron DeSantis: 17%
Niki Haley: 17%
Vivek Ramaswamy: 7%
Asa Hutchinson: 0%
Undecided: 8%
InsiderAdvantage’s Matt Towery: It is very difficult to determine if the projected weather could impact voter intensity for any particular candidate. But it does appear that Donald Trump continues to hold a commanding lead. The removal of Chris Christie’s name from the survey appears to have had no discernible impact on the results.