In a breaking poll from InsiderAdvantage/Fox 5 Atlanta, Republican Herschel Walker now leads Democratic U.S. Sen. Raphael Warnock by three points. Meanwhile Gov. Brian Kemp maintains a commanding lead over Democrat Stacey Abrams as does GOP candidate Burt Jones in his lt. governor’s contest against Democrat Charlie Bailey.
The poll was conducted October 27th among 550 likely voters with a margin of error of 4.2%. Cross-tabs can be found HERE
Results:
Governor:
Stacey Abrams, Democrat: 43%
Brian Kemp, Republican Incumbent: 52%
Shane Hazel, Libertarian: 1%
No Opinion/Undecided: 4%
U.S. Senate:
Herschel Walker, Republican: 48%
Raphael Warnock, Democrat Incumbent: 45%
Chase Oliver, Libertarian: 2%
No Opinion/Undecided: 5%
Lt. Governor:
Burt Jones, Republican: 47%
Charlie Bailey, Democrat: 41%
Ryan Graham, Libertarian: 2%
Undecided/No Opinion: 10%
Quick Takes from Matt Towery, co-founder and chairman of InsiderAdvantage:
In the race for governor: This is becoming a runaway contest. Interestingly Kemp has a 65-33 advantage among white voters and is receiving nearly 20% of the African American vote. Hispanics and other races favor Kemp heavily. Independents favor Kemp by 14 points.” As of now, Kemp seems headed towards a resounding victory without a runoff.
In the U.S. Senate race: Walker is gaining speed in the contest. He is receiving 59% of the white vote and nearly 20% of the African American vote. “Other races” favor him by a wide margin as well. Walker has closed the gap with female voters and now leads among male voters by ten points. This poll was conducted after the news conference conducted by a well-known attorney concerning allegations by her client. It appears the new allegations had no impact on the race and perhaps are having a reverse effect. Walker could win the race without a runoff, but a runoff still seems likely.
In the race for lt. governor: Jones, absent some 11th hour issue, appears headed to a victory without a runoff.