A survey of likely voters in Virginia’s race for governor conducted October 27-30 shows Republican Glenn Youngkin leading Democrat Terry McAuliffe 47%-to-45% with Libertarian candidate Princess Blanding receiving 2% with 6% undecided.
The survey of 500 registered likely voters included live cell phone and landline calls along with text questions. This is the same mixed survey sample InsiderAdvantage utilized in its successful 2020 presidential election cycle. The survey has a margin of error of plus or minus 4.4%. The survey is weighted for age, race and gender. It reflects the percentage of political party affiliations as well.
InsiderAdvantage Founder and Chairman Matt Towery says, “The race seems to be trending towards Youngkin. He leads by over 55-five percent among white voters and independents. McAuliffe’s support among African-American voters and other minorities is a bit below that of levels we normally see for a Democratic nominee.”
“This race is still up in the air given the fact that turnout levels remain anyone’s guess,” Towery notes. However, even with our survey weighting usual Democrat demographics to a high turnout level, the late surge for Youngkin keeps him in the lead.”
He concludes “The decision by McAuliffe’s campaign to make the race a national referendum on President Joe Biden and former President Donald Trump may prove to have been a problematic move. McAuliffe’s numbers have declined during the past week, even as he has brought in the biggest names from the Democratic Party to campaign for him. However, I would caution that McAuliffe is one of the most skilled politicians of our time, so I would not count him out yet.”
Towery especially adds “Georgia will be the ultimate test of whether the concept of making a local race a national one succeeds or fails.”
Note: InsiderAdvantage polling has received national praise for its results in the 2020 election cycle, The firm has polled for print entities ranging from Politico to Newsmax. The company is best known as polling for most major FOX TV affiliates in recent years, including affiliates in: Atlanta, Washington DC, Philadelphia, Phoenix, Orlando, Tampa, Dallas, Houston, and Charlotte. Prior to polling for FOX affiliates InsiderAdvantage provided polling to WXIA TV (Atlanta) and WSB TV (Atlanta).