An InsiderAdvantage “SuperPoll” of the Georgia Republican runoff for the U.S. Senate shows Rep. Jack Kingston leading businessman David Perdue 46% to 35% with 19% undecided. The “SuperPoll”* of both telephone and online likely voters was conducted with our research partners, Opinion Savvy, June 10-11. It is weighted for age, race, and gender. The survey has a margin of error of plus or minus 4.9%.
InsiderAdvantage/Fox5 Political Analyst Matt Towery says: “Kingston has a comfortable lead at present but it has the potential to become a precarious lead. Key demographic groups such as female voters and voters age 65 and over are much more evenly split. Also, contrary to some earlier surveys, our poll suggests that there is a larger undecided vote.
“We conducted this survey before and after the defeat of Rep. Eric Cantor in Virginia– and the undecided vote started to increase after Cantor suffered his loss. Whether the Cantor loss will somehow impact the Georgia race remains to be seen. The July 22 primary race has many more weeks to go, so the numbers could change substantially as we get closer to the actual vote.”
Towery will discuss the poll as well as any potential impact the defeat of Eric Cantor might have in this race tonight on WAGA-TV Fox5 Atlanta at 6:00 pm.
* About the “SuperPoll”: InsiderAdvantage, with its research partner OpinionSavvy, began producing the “SuperPoll” which utilizes responses both from automated IVY telephone surveys and scientific surveys of likely voters online in this 2014 season. The “SuperPoll” proved remarkably accurate in the May 20 GOP Senate Primary and actually outperformed the traditional IVR automated InsiderAdvantage surveys of the race. An average of both our IVR and “SuperPoll” surveys showed our polling with the correct order of fininshers as to Perdue, Kingston, and Handel within the margins of error. But the average of the “SuperPolls” was more accurate with the percentages well within the margins of error. For a look at the issues related to polling, see Matt Towery’s interview on polling in Georgia at www.insideradvantage.com . To learn more about Opinion Savvy visit www.opinionsavvy.com